Forecasting of Continuous Vital Sign Using Multivariate Auto-Regressive Models

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This project assessed the use of multivariate auto-regressive (MAR) models to create forecasts of continuous vital signs in hospitalized patients. A total of 20 hours continuous (1/60Hz) heart rate and respiration rate from eight postoperative patients, where used to fit a centered MAR model for forecasting in windows of 15 minutes. The model was fitted using Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling, and the model was evaluated on data from five additional patients. The results demonstrate an average RMSE in the forecast window of 11.4 (SD: 7.30) beats per minute for heart rate and 3.3 (SD:1.3) breaths per minute for respiration rate. These results indicate potential for forecasting vital signs in a clinical setting.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication44th Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society, EMBC 2022
Number of pages4
PublisherIEEE
Publication date2022
Pages385-388
ISBN (Electronic)9781728127828
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2022
Event44th Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society, EMBC 2022 - Glasgow, United Kingdom
Duration: 11 Jul 202215 Jul 2022

Conference

Conference44th Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society, EMBC 2022
LandUnited Kingdom
ByGlasgow
Periode11/07/202215/07/2022
SponsorVerasonics
SeriesProceedings of the Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society, EMBS
Volume2022-July
ISSN1557-170X

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© 2022 IEEE.

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