Age and BMI equal Modified Frailty Index, Modified Charlson Comorbidity Index and ASA in predicting adverse events in spinal surgery for cervical degenerative diseases

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Objective: To compare Modified Frailty Index (mFI), Modified Charlson Comorbidity (mCCI) and ASA with demographic data such as age, BMI and gender in the prediction of AEs obtained using a validated systematic reporting system in a prospective cohort undergoing cervical spine surgery. Methods: All adult patients undergoing spine surgery for cervical degenerative disease at our academic tertiary referral center from February 1, 2016, to January 31, 2017, were included. Morbidity and mortality were determined according to the predefined adverse event (AE) variables using the Spinal Adverse Events Severity (SAVES) System. Area under the curve (AUC) analyses from receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves were used to assess the discriminative ability in predicting AEs for the comorbidity indices mFI, mCCI, ASA and for BMI, age and gender. Results: A total of 288 consecutive cervical cases were included. BMI was the most predictive demographic factor for an AE (AUC = 0.58), the most predictive comorbidity index was mCCI (AUC = 0.52). No combination of comorbidity indices or demographic factors reached a threshold of AUC ≥ 0.7 for AEs. As predictor of extended length of stay: age (AUC = 0.77), mFI (AUC = 0.70) and ASA (AUC = 0.70) were similar and fair. Conclusion: Age and BMI equal mFI, mCCI and ASA in predicting postoperative AEs, amongst patients operated for cervical degenerative disease. No significant difference was found between mFI, mCCI and ASA in the discriminative abilities in predicting morbidity, based on prospectively collected AEs according to the SAVES grading system.

Original languageEnglish
Article number107698
JournalClinical Neurology and Neurosurgery
Volume228
Number of pages6
ISSN0303-8467
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 Elsevier B.V.

    Research areas

  • Adverse events, ASA, Cervical spine surgery, Comorbidity indices, Modified Charlson Comorbidity Index, Modified Frailty Index

ID: 363281847