The Impact of Fiscal Governance on Bond Markets: Evidence from Late Budgets and State Government Borrowing Costs

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  • Wp-10-11

    Final published version, 348 KB, PDF document

Does fiscal governance affect government borrowing costs? We operationalize fiscal governance as the ability of governments to pass a budget on time and, using a unique data set on budget enactment dates, analyze the effect of such late budgets on government bond yield spreads. Based on a sample of 36 US states in the period 1988-1997, we estimate that a budget delay of 30 days has a long run impact on the yield spread between 2 and 10 basis points. States with sufficient liquidity in the form of large reserves face small or no costs from late budgets.
Original languageEnglish
PublisherDepartment of Economics, University of Copenhagen
Number of pages22
Publication statusPublished - 2010

    Research areas

  • Faculty of Social Sciences - political deadlock, late budgets, fiscal stalemate, Chubb relative value survey, debt cost, bond spread

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ID: 22432739