The Ability of Comorbidity Indices to Predict Mortality After Heart Transplantation: A Validation of the Danish Comorbidity Index for Acute Myocardial Infarction, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and Elixhauser Comorbidity Index

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

Documents

  • Fulltext

    Final published version, 820 KB, PDF document

  • Kasper Bonnesen
  • Rikke E. Mols
  • Brian Løgstrup
  • Gustafsson, Finn
  • Hans Eiskjær
  • Morten Schmidt

UNLABELLED: Advanced heart failure patients often have comorbidities of prognostic importance. However, whether total pretransplantation comorbidity burden predicts mortality in patients treated with heart transplantation (HTx) is unknown. We used population-based hospital and prescription data to examine the ability of the Danish Comorbidity Index for Acute Myocardial Infarction (DANCAMI), DANCAMI restricted to noncardiovascular diseases, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and Elixhauser Comorbidity Index to predict 30-d, 1-y, 5-y, and 10-y all-cause and cardiovascular mortality after HTx.

METHODS: We identified all adult Danish patients with incident HTx from the Scandiatransplant Database between March 1, 1995, and December 31, 2018 (n = 563). We calculated Harrell's C-Statistics to examine discriminatory performance.

RESULTS: The C-Statistic for predicting 1-y all-cause mortality after HTx was 0.58 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.50-0.65) for a baseline model including age and sex. Adding comorbidity score to the baseline model did not increase the C-Statistics for DANCAMI (0.58; 95% CI, 0.50-0.65), DANCAMI restricted to noncardiovascular diseases (0.57; 95% CI, 0.50-0.64), Charlson Comorbidity Index (0.59; 95% CI, 0.51-0.66), or Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (0.58; 95% CI, 0.51-0.65). The results for 30-d, 5-y, and 10-y all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were consistent.

CONCLUSIONS: After accounting for patient age and sex, none of the commonly used comorbidity indices added predictive value to short- or long-term all-cause or cardiovascular mortality after HTx.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere1438
JournalTransplantation Direct
Volume9
Issue number4
Number of pages6
ISSN2373-8731
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023

Bibliographical note

Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Transplantation Direct. Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.

ID: 381232611