Prediction of severe adverse event from vital signs for post-operative patients

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingArticle in proceedingsResearchpeer-review

Monitoring post-operative patients is important for preventing severe adverse events (SAE), which increases morbidity and mortality. Conventional bedside monitoring system has demonstrated the difficulty in long term monitoring of those patients because majority of them are ambulatory. With development of wearable system and advanced data analytics, those patients would benefit greatly from continuous and predictive monitoring. In this study, we aim to predict SAE based on monitoring of vital signs. Heart rate, respiration rate, and blood oxygen saturation were continuously acquired by wearable devices and blood pressure was measured intermittently from 453 post-operative patients. SAEs from various complications were extracted from patients' database. The trends of vital signs were first extracted with moving average. Then four descriptive statistics were calculated from trend of each modality as features. Finally, a machine learning approach based on support vector machine was employed for prediction of SAE. It has shown the averaged accuracy of 89%, sensitivity of 80%, specificity of 93% and the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 93%. These findings are promising and demonstrate the feasibility of predicting SAE from vital signs acquired with wearable devices and measured intermittently.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2021 43rd Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society, EMBC 2021
PublisherIEEE
Publication date2021
Pages971-974
ISBN (Electronic)9781728111797
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2021
Event43rd Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society, EMBC 2021 - Virtual, Online, Mexico
Duration: 1 Nov 20215 Nov 2021

Conference

Conference43rd Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society, EMBC 2021
LandMexico
ByVirtual, Online
Periode01/11/202105/11/2021
SponsorElsevier, The Institution of Engineering and Technology (IET)
SeriesProceedings of the Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society, EMBS
ISSN1557-170X

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 IEEE.

ID: 304300300