Conditional probability as a decision-making tool: A didactic sequence
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Conditional probability as a decision-making tool : A didactic sequence. / Elicer, Raimundo; Carrasco, Eduardo.
Proceedings of the Tenth Congress of the European Society for Research in Mathematics Education (CERME10, February 1 – 5, 2017). ed. / Thérèse Dooley; Ghislaine Gueudet. DCU Institute of Education and ERME, 2017. p. 748-755.Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Article in proceedings › Research › peer-review
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TY - GEN
T1 - Conditional probability as a decision-making tool
T2 - A didactic sequence
AU - Elicer, Raimundo
AU - Carrasco, Eduardo
PY - 2017
Y1 - 2017
N2 - Conditional probability arises as a tool for analyzing a strategy for decision-making that molds to new conditions. From that point of view, an introductory sequence which utilizes diachronic games is designed and analyzed under the framework of didactical engineering, bringing conditional probability into play as a decision-making tool. It can be observed that students tend to base their decisions on heuristics and experiential considerations, and do not see the need for a proper calculation of theoretical probabilities. At most, they use experimentation as a tool, not computing probabilities based on relative frequencies, but comparing absolute frequencies.
AB - Conditional probability arises as a tool for analyzing a strategy for decision-making that molds to new conditions. From that point of view, an introductory sequence which utilizes diachronic games is designed and analyzed under the framework of didactical engineering, bringing conditional probability into play as a decision-making tool. It can be observed that students tend to base their decisions on heuristics and experiential considerations, and do not see the need for a proper calculation of theoretical probabilities. At most, they use experimentation as a tool, not computing probabilities based on relative frequencies, but comparing absolute frequencies.
KW - conditional probability
KW - decision-making
KW - didactical engineering
UR - https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01927857/document
M3 - Article in proceedings
SP - 748
EP - 755
BT - Proceedings of the Tenth Congress of the European Society for Research in Mathematics Education (CERME10, February 1 – 5, 2017)
A2 - Dooley, Thérèse
A2 - Gueudet, Ghislaine
PB - DCU Institute of Education and ERME
ER -
ID: 340004357