Anthropogenic forcing dominates sea level rise since 1850
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Anthropogenic forcing dominates sea level rise since 1850. / Jevrejeva, Svetlana; Grinsted, Aslak; Moore, John.
I: Geophysical Research Letters, Bind 36, 2009, s. L20707.Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Anthropogenic forcing dominates sea level rise since 1850
AU - Jevrejeva, Svetlana
AU - Grinsted, Aslak
AU - Moore, John
N1 - Paper id:: 10.1029/2009GL040216
PY - 2009
Y1 - 2009
N2 - The rate of sea level rise and its causes are topics of active debate. Here we use a delayed response statistical model to attribute the past 1000 years of sea level variability to various natural (volcanic and solar radiative) and anthropogenic (greenhouse gases and aerosols) forcings. We show that until 1800 the main drivers of sea level change are volcanic and solar radiative forcings. For the past 200 years sea level rise is mostly associated with anthropogenic factors. Only 4 ± 1.5 cm (25% of total sea level rise) during the 20th century is attributed to natural forcings, the remaining 14 ± 1.5 cm are due to a rapid increase in CO2 and other greenhouse gases.
AB - The rate of sea level rise and its causes are topics of active debate. Here we use a delayed response statistical model to attribute the past 1000 years of sea level variability to various natural (volcanic and solar radiative) and anthropogenic (greenhouse gases and aerosols) forcings. We show that until 1800 the main drivers of sea level change are volcanic and solar radiative forcings. For the past 200 years sea level rise is mostly associated with anthropogenic factors. Only 4 ± 1.5 cm (25% of total sea level rise) during the 20th century is attributed to natural forcings, the remaining 14 ± 1.5 cm are due to a rapid increase in CO2 and other greenhouse gases.
U2 - 10.1029/2009GL040216
DO - 10.1029/2009GL040216
M3 - Journal article
VL - 36
SP - L20707
JO - Geophysical Research Letters
JF - Geophysical Research Letters
SN - 0094-8276
ER -
ID: 17272949